Kafka's late TD pass boosts East over West
NCAA Football Betting Lines
01/23/2010 - Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Northwestern's Mike Kafka connected with Penn State's Andrew Quarless on a two-yard touchdown pass with six seconds remaining to give the East a 13-10 victory over the West in the 85th edition of the East-West Shrine Game.
Kafka completed 18-of-27 passes for 150 yards for the East, which snapped a three-game slide in the series with a 24-19 victory last year. Blair White of Michigan State hauled in seven passes for 93 yards. Ole Miss' Joshua Shene made a pair of field goals for the victors.
Max Hall of BYU connected on 7-of-12 passes for 119 yards, a touchdown, and an interception for the West, which had three turnovers in the game. BYU's Dennis Pitta led the receiving corps with four catches for 72 yards. Ryan Moya of UCLA had a TD catch in defeat.
Trailing 6-3 early in the fourth, the West put together a five-play, 78-yard scoring drive to go in front. Nathan Overbay and Pitta made catches of 41 and 17 yards, respectively, to move the ball to the East eight-yard line. Hall then found Moya in the end zone to give the West a 10-6 margin with seven minutes to play.
The East drove into the red zone on the ensuing possession, but couldn't convert on 4th-and-6.
Following a punt by the West, the East took over at its own 45 with 1:49 to go. Kafka and the East converted on three third downs during the 11-play game- winning drive.
Freddie Barnes of Bowling Green highlighted the march with three consecutive catches of 12, seven, and 10 yards. Faced with a 2nd-and-10 from the West 11, Kafka eluded a sack and scrambled for nine yards. The East called a timeout with 12 seconds left before Kafka found Quarless in the back of the end zone for the victory.
Following a scoreless first quarter, Texas' Hunter Lawrence got the West on the board by making a 47-yard field goal with 5:56 left.
Shene made a pair of field goals -- 44 and 40 yards -- in the final 2:15 of the half to give the East a 6-3 edge at the break.
Neither team scored in the third, setting up the exiting finish.
Game Notes
The West owns a 45-35-5 advantage in the all-time series...UConn's Andre Dixon led the East's rushing attack with 24 yards on seven carries...North Dakota State's Pat Paschall carried the ball seven times for 28 yards for the West...Romeo Crennel was the head coach of the East, while Marty Schottenheimer directed the West. Crennel, who just last week signed on to become the defensive coordinator for the Chiefs, spent four years (2005-08) as the head coach of the Cleveland Browns, a position held at one time by Schottenheimer in the 1980s before the latter took the reins for KC between 1989-1998.
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Betting Football
NFL Football Betting OnlineIs there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.